Vol. 4 (2018): núm. especial, vol. 4
Artículos

Patentes y crecimiento económico, el caso de México durante el TLCAN

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  • G. Alenka Guzmán Chávez,
  • Hortensia Gómez Víquez,
  • Francisco López Herrera
G. Alenka Guzmán Chávez
Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana
Biografía
Hortensia Gómez Víquez
Instituto Politécnico Nacional.
Francisco López Herrera
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
núm. especial, vol. 3
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24275/ETYPUAM/NE/E042018/Guzman
Publicado agosto 3, 2018
Palabras clave
  • Innovación,
  • patentes y crecimiento económico,
  • causalidad Granger cointegración,
  • México,
  • TLCAN

Derechos de autor 2018 Economía teoría y práctica

Creative Commons License
Esta obra está bajo licencia internacional Creative Commons Reconocimiento-CompartirIgual 4.0.

Resumen

Tras caracterizar la naturaleza de las patentes concedidas en México por el Instituto Mexicano de la Propiedad Intelectual (IMPI), el objetivo de este artículo es examinar la relación entre el número de patentes de residentes y el crecimiento económico durante 1991-2015. En una tendencia creciente de dependencia tecnológica en México, los hallazgos con base en un modelo de cointegración de patentes y crecimiento económico de largo plazo y un modelo vectorial de corrección del error, sugieren que el cambio marginal en las patentes afecta la tasa de crecimiento del PIB, pero éste no tiene un efecto significativo en el cambio en el número de las patentes -?pati-. Además, se aprecia la probable presencia de un cambio estructural. Finalmente, se detecta que los shocks en el número de patentes y en el crecimiento del PIB tienen sólo efectos transitorios en el ?pati, pero el shock en éste tiene efectos en el ?pib probablemente sustancialmente negativos y permanentes.
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