Núm. 32 (2010)
Artículos

La demanda de gasolinas en México: Efectos y alternativas ante el cambio climático

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  • Orlando Reyes,
  • Roberto Escalante,
  • Anna Matas
Orlando Reyes
Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona
Biografía
Roberto Escalante
Universidad de Londres
Biografía
Anna Matas
Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona
Biografía
núm. 32
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24275/ETYPUAM/NE/322010/Reyes
Publicado junio 1, 2010
Palabras clave
  • demanda de gasolinas,
  • elasticidades ingreso y precio,
  • sector autotransporte,
  • políticas económicas,
  • emisiones de bióxido de carbono y técnicas de cointegración
Aviso de derechos de autor/a

Resumen

El autotransporte es de los sectores más contaminantes en México, generando alrededor de 17% del total de emisiones de CO2 . El consumo de gasolina y diesel son la principal fuente de estas emisiones. Este artículo analiza empíricamente la demanda de gasolinas del sector automotor en México durante el periodo 1960-2008. Las estimaciones de las elasticidades de largo y corto plazos del precio e ingreso fueron: -0.285, -0.041, 1.004 y 0.721, lo que implica que la demanda de gasolinas es sensible a la trayectoria del ingreso e inelástica a los precios. Por tanto, un crecimiento económico continuo, sin una adecuada política de precios, generará un aumento en el consumo de gasolinas. Esta situación puede ser más grave al considerar los efectos del cambio climático suponiendo una demanda relativamente constante. Bajo estas circunstancias es necesario implantar diversas políticas públicas simultáneamente para frenar las consecuencias del consumo de gasolinas sobre el cambio climático.
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Citas

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