Núm. 34 (2011)
Artículos

El efecto de la tecnología en las exportaciones manufactureras mexicanas hacia Estados Unidos

Ana Lilia Valderrama Santibáñez
IPN
Biografía
Omar Neme Castillo
IPN UNAM
Biografía
Publicado junio 1, 2011
Palabras clave
  • exportaciones,
  • capacidades tecnológicas,
  • cointegración

Resumen

El objetivo de este estudio es demostrar que en el largo plazo las exportaciones mexicanas hacia Estados Unidos son impulsadas principalmente por factores tecnológicos y de organización industrial. En particular, se identifica si las capacidades tecnológicas tienen significado sistemático, así como la función que desempeñan en el corto plazo. Para ello, se estima un modelo de determinantes de las exportaciones bajo diversas especificaciones diferenciadas por las variables tecnológicas. Se emplean técnicas de cointegración para una estimación rigurosa de las exportaciones en el largo plazo, incluyendo el vecm, que muestra la dinámica de corto plazo, y se determina si estas variables causan en el sentido de Granger a las exportaciones. Se observa que las capacidades tecnológicas y competencia monopólica impactan en las exportaciones.

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